>>1

I hear that the semiconductor shortage has been resolved.

Is that how it is?

I’m going to sell it overseas as well.

Nintendo might be selling it with expectations similar to those from the Wii to the Wii U.

It hardly sold at all, so it makes sense.

It was about two years later that I was able to buy a Switch, so it’s probably like that.

Aren’t you going to adjust based on the reservation pace?

I don’t know which country it’s made in or how it’s made, but even if 1,000 units are produced a day, how can it reach 2 million people?

>>12

If you produce 10,000 units a day, it won’t take a year.

>>19

If you close your eyes to the point of impossibility, you know…

Well, let’s wait while picking our noses.

I’m hitting it, so it’s probably fine.

It’s okay if it’s a year later, but since it’s a hassle, please make it so that for online reservations, if you lose the lottery for the second time or later, you are automatically registered for the next lottery.

>>15

If your desire to purchase is at that level, then just wait for 23 years with your body already leaking…

It might be just right since software would be somewhat assembled by a year later.

>>16

Are you telling me to wait a year for Mario Kart?

>>39

You should just play the games you have piled up.

>>167

I want a Switch 2 to break through the games I’ve stacked up!

…Phew, should I tackle the pile of games on Steam?

>>17

Not being able to have fun for 1 or 2 years out of the 3 years in middle and high school can be quite tough.

I might buy it if it’s sold for under 100,000 yen on Mercari.

>>18

Well, that’s easier for you, isn’t it?

It must be difficult for those who cannot use resellers for religious reasons.

I think it will take about three years for me to be able to casually stop by and buy without participating in a lottery or anything.

Since there are plenty of games piled up on the Switch before Switch2, I’ve decided to take my time getting them.

If I fall, I start to not care about anything and stop following the topics.

If you don’t want me to buy it, then I won’t buy it, just watch me.

The child who was able to buy a house is a hero beyond just a communication cable.

The source is Sankei.

If we wait for about three years, some kind of improved version will come out, so let’s wait until then.

I don’t think it’s a prediction that can be overturned just by saying you can’t believe the source…

>>35

I think 1 million at the start is reasonable, but 4 million within the year is definitely not happening.

When will Yodobashi start taking reservations?

>>37

Do you still have any expectations for Yodobashi?

It’s no good because Toshiaki and the anonymous person are raising it up.

How long am I going to be estranged from Yuuichi…

>>45

Yuuichi probably already has the actual item in his possession.

When it was Muji, I didn’t feel like it was that special when it first came out, so I was able to buy it right away when I wanted it.

It was about a year or two after it came out.

It seems like the bundled version of Marika will likely have its limited period extended within the year.

If I had made the conditions stricter…

I think analysts are still more credible than the anonymous predictions of places like this.

I think Sankei is much more trustworthy than Nikkei, which has a lot of fluff articles regarding games.

If it spreads in six months, that would be terrible.

I have to see it for at least a year.

Are there really nameless people who haven’t hit?

Just because you apply enthusiastically doesn’t mean you can get it.

The potential demand is around 5 million, but it seems like we can only meet about 4 million by the end of the year.

Although the successor to the product that sold a total of 36 million units in Japan cannot be supplied all at once.

I wonder how many game consoles can be produced in a day.

Is the source an analyst?

Well, there may be some reflection on how the Switch didn’t spread as much, and the smart people at Nintendo will probably come up with a clever solution…

If they announce and sell it after manufacturing about 10 million units, everyone would buy it right away.

>>61

In the past, the hardware was around 300,000 in the first week…?

>>61

Where are you going to put so many units?

I’m not in a hurry, so it’s fine as long as the price doesn’t go up before I buy it.

Regardless of whether the source is Sankei or not, considering the current circumstances and the situation with the old Switch, it’s clear that it’s not something you can easily obtain.

Wasn’t there something about making a report soon?

Holding inventory so that it doesn’t circulate outside also costs money.

The second lottery was faster than I thought, so I don’t think there’s much to worry about.

If I don’t search seriously, it might become scarce.

I think you can get it by applying in various places.

Sega should announce Dreamcast 2 to disperse demand.

So it’s the PS5 route after all.

People who can spend 100,000 yen on reselling are probably already winning.

It’s a fantasy that it will spread in one or two years.

I wonder how many years it took back in the day with the DS.

If you’re going to get into reselling, you should have bet on the multilingual version.

>>40

Senior Analyst at Toyo Securities and Anonymous Collective Intelligence

You know which one to trust, right?

Looks like dedicated software for Switch 2 won’t be released for a while.

It looks like a PS5.

>>79

It raises the question of what the user won for if that is the case.

>>131

The second edition will come out, right?

Until the day before, there was a cheerful mood like “Isn’t everyone going to win?”

Looking back now, I was so naive.

>>82

It would be more unusual to say that there is a high possibility of not being able to buy it even though they have prepared a sufficient quantity to meet the demand.

>>112

The sales route isn’t just through official channels.

Even ordinary people who don’t know the number of applicants or production can’t perfectly predict anything, regardless of being oblivious to peace.

Pokemon ZA can be played on the old model Switch, right?

I’m curious about what will happen with the new Pokémon, regardless of Legends.

It might be a technical issue, but Scavengers is quite heavy, and I felt the limits of the hardware, so I think they might want to release a new title exclusively for Switch 2 if possible.

Well, I have 8 lottery tickets, so I’ll have it on the release date.

>>85

If the winning rate is 15%

It will result in a calculation with about a 1/4 chance of hitting none at all.

Don’t you think we should have taken all possible precautions if we couldn’t predict it?

>>87

By the way, where is that perfect number?

>>89

About 8.2 billion units.

>>97

Is it the national budget?

>>87

What is perfect?

>>90

Ah!

Well, even if we can make a huge amount, we’ll probably end up leading with the Switch version for a while and release something like Switch 2 Edition.

It seems that the stock quantity will not change for the second lottery, so I’ll go with the multilingual version.

It was six months later when it was at 1, and I was able to buy it without making a reservation.

People who were not selected tend to become anti-fans… Nintendo didn’t understand that.

>>95

If you stop liking something just because you were not selected, you can say you were never a true Nintendo fan.

Love is being tested here.

I won a Mario Kart bundle, but…

If anything, it’s for the second lottery’s Switch 2.

I think I hurriedly moved everything to the first time.

In other words, the second batch of Switch 2 is being made now.

I envy all the VTubers who have received Nintendo deals; they all seem to have won.

The Switch had quite a bit of stock during the Christmas season.

If you miss that, there will be a lottery again for a while.

I really can’t understand how the idea that everyone would win spread, even though it’s clear from the start that there will be people who won’t win in a lottery.

I’m counting on you, Mericari.

“Can I really trust someone who says it will take a year?”

Are you an insider?

Reselling is going well.

The figure of 4 million was set.

Maybe it was like that in the first year of the Switch.

The situation is different now compared to back then, and Switch is at its peak.

Some people are predicting 7 million a year.

But didn’t the first generation take about a year?

The initial response of 2 seems likely to greatly surpass 1, so if I don’t win the lottery, I think I’ll have to wait quite a while.

>>107

It took me more than two years to be able to buy a Switch.

>>108

From when to when?

>>111

I intended to buy it before the release of Splatoon 2, but I couldn’t.

It feels like I could buy it after the Last Fest that happened two years later.

Well, no matter how motivated Nintendo is, there are physical limits to production speed.

I was able to buy it on the release day without standing in line or making a reservation.

Yeah, yeah.

The ones who failed this time are definitely the leftover 1% of the ones who have a 99% chance of winning, like those pathetic losers.

It’s a big lie that it will be widely available in a year.

It will be distributed in three days.

I wonder if Switch2 will be secured in 100 units or so by Hikakin and others for giveaways.

Is it just that this old man is saying that?

I remember playing Breath of the Wild on Wii U and getting it during the time between the announcement and release of Splatoon 2.

How long has it been… when I looked it up, it was about 4 months since the Switch was released.

Before the demand for home confinement due to COVID-19 started making waves, you could usually buy a Switch at stores in rural areas.

I bought the console a year after the Switch was released because a game I wanted came out, but I was able to buy the official customized color right away.

At first, you could buy it normally, but from there…

I was able to buy it about two years later.

I went to Yodo on Christmas and there was a line.

The first generation could be easily purchased and pre-ordered right after its release.

It disappeared after a while.

>>122

Nintendo… you lied, didn’t you?

If Sankei is saying that, it seems that the Switch 2 will be widely available in six months.

It’s fine if people are getting all worked up online, but it’s painful to think that grandparents who don’t really understand might get angry at the game store asking why the game isn’t available on the release date!

Will Nintendo continue to hold lotteries even after the release?

Actually, it would be a problem if you don’t do it.

By the way, my reservation at Yodobashi is already marked as undecided.

Isn’t it the start of Golden Week?

It’s not like a dedicated title for Switch2 is coming out, so there shouldn’t be any problem.

>>133

I’m here…

Anti-reselling measures are amazing!

Everyone wins!

I wonder how Nintendo saw it.

>>134

Weren’t you feeling anxious about the numerous reports of rejection the day before?

>>134

I don’t know how Nintendo viewed it, but it’s helpful to realize that the person saying this on their investment account is an idiot who can’t read financial statements.

I’m not too worried about that since basically everything except for Nintendo’s own software is multi-platform.

It would be sad if there were no squid, Animal Crossing, or Zelda when they come out.

The second time, those who heard this commotion, including resellers and regular people who have had no interest in games until now, will probably all rush to make reservations.

>>136

Is it hell?

>>136

It’s a bit too late to finally realize things on the second try; the antenna for reselling is just too low, don’t you think?

>>140

I am on my second time.

“I heard that reselling measures are strict, but this seems like it could be resold.”

I’m thinking that way.

>>153

That’s right.

If it can be distributed to everyone, then it can’t be resold.

I heard it was going to be distributed to everyone the first time.

>>136

If it’s a lottery by Nintendo for the second time, that group can’t participate, right?

>>136

It’s like a lottery for a huge fortune.

Moreover, the reservation itself is free.

>>136

Those who couldn’t even gather information that the switch2 would be released probably don’t know about the current commotion either.

Nintendo’s production capacity is too lousy and garbage.

Choosing the multilingual version was definitely the right choice.

More than 1 million people cannot get their hands on a Switch 2.

It is almost certain that these individuals will turn into rioters, destroying electronics stores and game shops, and engaging in Switch 2 hunts and public executions against those who boasted about their winnings on social media.

Ultimately, there will be armed clashes with the police and military, resulting in tens of thousands of casualties.

Damn it, is all I can do is watch Japan’s downfall with my thumb in my mouth?

>>148

Do you really think that the losers gathered here can beat the winners?

If I can’t get it like this, I’ll be watching the summer Nintendo Direct while going crazy.

That’s tough… Well, I’ll go ahead and get mine first.

I got through this lottery, so if I get extra items from places like Geo, I’ll show a lined-up picture to Anonymous and get it deleted.

This will sell for a high price!

It seems like there’s a calm atmosphere, but isn’t the semiconductor issue still unresolved?

>>160

Isn’t Trump stirring things up even more?

The first production of switch2 is the one before Trump went wild, right?

>>160

?

Well, somehow it’s working out.

There are plenty of people in the world with low awareness, aren’t there?

It’s been confirmed that not everyone will get it, so the resellers are going all out.

I’m glad that a new business has emerged.

>>166

I mean, even if only one person wins, there will definitely be people who sell it easily.

>>166

I think we sell tens of thousands a week, but how many thousands do you think we could list?

Retail lotteries are definitely a playground for resellers, right?

Whether there is a purchase history or not, it’s advantageous for resellers.

If you fail the second lottery, it’s over.

Honestly, I knew it would turn out like this…

Although the semiconductor shortage has improved, I thought it wouldn’t be surprising for the domestically strong Switch to end up in a similar situation compared to the PS5.

To be honest, I think there are many people who casually think about buying another one because selling one can bring in good money.

I shouldn’t have mentioned the number of applicants after all.

>>172

I thought it was seriously stupid.

Wow, you clarified the missing parts really clearly.

>>172

Why?

>>177

Because it strongly creates the impression of being hard to obtain.

>>172

Statistics is the magic of accurately predicting unknown or hard-to-survey numbers.

It’s useless to hide.

If you resell it, you can sell it for 100,000 yen.

It’s like saying you’ll make 50,000 yen if you win, isn’t it?

I think the prices will go up even more.

Isn’t that what popular hardwares have always been like?

>>174

It’s not like that.

>>183

It can be like adding fuel to the fire.

>>190

You can’t know if it’s oil or not without looking at the route that hasn’t been poured.

>>178

“I can provide a sufficient number! It’s also trash.”

Nintendo has far more than they thought was enough, meaning that manufacturing can’t keep up at all, allowing for resale over the course of years.

I have a feeling that prices will increase before it spreads widely.

Even at this point, 50,000 is amazing.

Mercari really has made the Japanese people terrible, hasn’t it?

>>182

Even without Mercari, you can just do it on Yahoo Auctions.

Everyone who writes ridiculous articles is an idiot…

If you say 2.2 million when it’s around 500,000 or 700,000, of course that’s something.

Oh, so it can spread in a year?

Sankei is not informative.

More than a year is too short.

By the way, it’s not that the people who won can’t participate in the lottery again after the second time, right?

If rice isn’t circulating, there’s no way the Switch 2 would be circulating.

The lottery is where the real hell starts…

I’m making a lot.

There is enough.

of

It’s impossible because 2.2 million has come.

Unlike the PS5, which you can buy whenever you want, the Switch 2 is just pathetic.

If things continue like this, the number of people transitioning to PS5 will increase and it will be over.