To release this much and still do a second round means they prepared more than I expected.

>>1

Since we’re putting out this much, the amount that will be released in the second round should be just what was made after the first round and the cancellations, right?

Even after subtracting those who got through in the first round, the odds will be higher than in the first round.

>>28

How many units is that?

Is there any point in making that many applications?

>>33

What other meaning is there besides wanting to deliver the maximum amount possible by the release date?

>>28

The odds will likely increase, but I don’t understand the basis and the numbers, and it doesn’t matter that they have prepared more than I thought…

Even if you prepare the same amount, more than half will end up dropping out.

>>3

According to the poll in the thread, please say I’m a lucky person with a 9% reduction.

I’m worried that the large number of misses in this regular edition will cause that demographic to shift to the multilingual version…

>>67

If everyone is moving, I honestly appreciate it…

To be honest, the standard version is 100,000 units.

It seems.

Ken

And then it happened.

>>4

I find it hard to believe that there are many customers who aren’t interested in Mario Kart.

Clearly, the set is extremely cheap.

So you bought the winning chance for 20,000.

Well, it’s always better to get it cheaper, so I will keep aiming for the Japanese version of the Mario Kart set…

>>5

Even so, it wasn’t possible to buy a winning ticket in that unscrupulous game balance.

You might not know it, but 100,000 is an amazing number.

The multilingual version was that easy, huh?

>>8

The production line for overseas is the most abundant, and it is likely that the official multilingual options will continue to be the easiest to obtain for a while.

I don’t play games like Mario Kart.

Isn’t the regular version prepared the most?

>>10

They’re prepared three times and with 23% and 16%, so it’s probably not quite that much in terms of trends.

>>10

They probably switched it because there were more applications for the bundled version than for the standard edition.

>>10

It’s clearly a better deal to buy it as a set with the launch, and most people buying at this timing are likely aiming for Mario Kart, so isn’t it only natural to have more bundles?

Nine out of ten is amazing.

I wouldn’t have bought it at the regular price, but half off is definitely a good deal…

If about 200,000 people move to the version in another language, it would be roughly 25% if the same number is prepared.

Honestly, I don’t feel like I’m going to win.

If you’re Japanese, there’s no need to go out of your way to buy something expensive.

I understand that the competition rate is low.

>>21

Advance Wars is a defective product that can’t be played, huh?

The results of Nojima’s lottery will be announced today, but I wish they would stop only notifying the winners…

If you feel like you’re not going to win, you won’t win.

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe has sold about 70% of the Switch.

The ones who don’t want it are the minority.

I chose the standard version because it doesn’t seem like a hassle when selling it.

This is a summary result of a few hundred cases.

The estimated number is quite strange.

>>29

If that’s the case, what does 82,753 votes mean…?

>>34

Unique coefficient

>>29

It says 82,735 votes.

>>35

That is a typo.

>>29

Can’t you read the characters?

For now, I’ve applied to all the positions I could, but it still seems tough… Geo has already over 300,000 applicants…

I didn’t really want Mario Kart that much, but I bundled it together because the price was good, and I think everyone feels somewhat the same way.

Since this is the first round and I have accumulated stock, if I can provide this much, it seems like it will get distributed to qualified individuals by the end of the year.

Winners can no longer enter the lottery regardless of whether they made a purchase.

But I can’t forgive the one who compiled the thread images from the lottery room.

I’ve never played Mario Kart 8, but since it’s a special occasion, I decided to make my Mario Kart debut and applied for the bundled version.

If you miss it, it will be expensive.

Scream… thinking that far…!

Game developers simply have no reason not to go that way.

As expected, having 500,000 only from the store is impossible.

Since we’re giving more to retail, it will exceed 1 million in initial sales.

>>46

I had 700,000 + 1,200,000 prepared.

Why tell a pathetic lie?

The results from sources other than Nintendo are just a joke.

It doesn’t matter which one is more; the result won’t change.

It seems like the store doesn’t have a very strong physical distribution.

Exposing my clumsiness with consecutive posts.

You would miss it if it weren’t for me.

No matter how high the probability is said to be, there are few actual numbers, and the other language versions cannot go elsewhere.

Prioritize the second lottery for me.

Seriously.

>>54

Given how far off this is, I can’t help but think they should first meet the demand of the initial applicants…

Considering that the initial sales numbers for past hardware were around 300,000, it’s hard to believe that the official store alone could have 500,000.

Was the multilingual version a great success?

>>56

I wonder how it is.

It’s a shame that I can get the Japanese version for 20,000 yen less.

>>60

Did you get it?

>>60

If you can buy a year or two of waiting time for 20,000 yen, then it’s a bargain, right?

>>63

I can just buy it later at a second-hand store anyway.

Only otaku who go out of their way to vote for something like this on Twitter are probably just Mario Kart fans, so it will be biased.

Isn’t it that there is essentially no difference between the Mario Kart set and the main unit, and they are just mixed up?

It’s not exclusively sold by Nintendo; it’s also available through general distribution.

Among those who were not selected, there are likely some who don’t want to see any talk about switch2 for a while, so it seems that the votes from those who were selected will increase.

Since there are many enthusiasts and connoisseurs willing to spend 20,000 yen, I guess it’s not a bad thing.

The forecast for Switch sales has become meaningless compared to past hardware, right?

There has never been so much talk about just making a reservation in the past.

Those who miss something with a high probability are probably more miserable…

According to Famitsu’s survey, the number is even lower.

How the winning rate is and which one is the target.

I don’t want to play games like this just to buy a game console…

>>72

If you do a lot of shopping at electronics retailers regularly, you won’t need to play unnecessary games.

>>72

Games are no longer something everyone can play equally together.

Even though I’m numb to it, there are probably only a limited number of parents willing to pay 50,000 yen for a game console…

>>72

If you wait about a year, you’ll probably be able to buy it normally.

It’s not strange that the thing I want to buy on release day is for Mario Kart.

Looking at the chaos on the timeline that day, it feels like I didn’t win even 23%…

I got a Mario Kart set.

No one can put out 70,000, right? VS There are people in the world who will even put out double that.

>>78

If the official sells it, I would gladly pay double, but I won’t give anything to a filthy parasite.

>>78

It’s cheaper than resale anyway.

If it’s around 1,000 votes, I can laugh and treat it as a joke, but with 80,000, the probability of winning is likely to be a fairly realistic number.

>>80

I think that since there are a number of cases, overall we are quite close, but since it is not a random sample, I believe there is a slight discrepancy in terms of accuracy.

>>87

I think 80,000 votes are sufficient when viewed as a statistic.

>>95

I can’t trust it without 2.2 million votes.

>>87

There is a bias in the layer that is both online and answering the survey.

In the first place, it’s not something that tends to be biased just because people are answering a survey or because they’re part of the online demographic.

Isn’t it a bias that doesn’t really have any meaning even if it is skewed?

People who can spend 70,000 yen on a game console are likely to be able to spend a few tens of thousands too.

Game consoles are things you use for many years, so there’s no need to rush into buying one.

I won the lottery, but…

Everyone who applied with the regular edition is an idiot.

>>85

I just want to reduce my rivals, that’s funny.

I don’t want people who reluctantly make a multilingual version just because they want a multilingual version to buy it…

You shouldn’t rush to buy a game console like that.

>>88

You buy the things you want along with the game you want to play.

So I will buy it on the release date.

If there were 16%, we would be facing lawsuits every time from gacha in social games.

In the second round, it seems like there’s a setback no matter which option I choose, and I don’t want to do something like this in a game that involves werewolves…

Although the number of voters is large, those who are not elected are unlikely to bother voting, so the winning rate inevitably appears somewhat lower.

When I try to buy peripherals, there’s an additional cost, so I couldn’t make the leap to the multilingual version…

In the end, it’s meaningless to read between the lines like “the numbers prepared are different.”

In this day and age, there are price increases but no price decreases, so I want it as soon as possible.

Knowing the probability doesn’t matter if I don’t win.

Even if there were an official announcement, for example, hypothetically speaking.

There may be a higher rate of those who won participating in the survey, but as an estimate, it’s probably sufficient.

Before you can get your hands on it, the price goes up, just like with the PS5.

The regular version can be bought at other online shops and physical stores, but…

Since the multilingual version can only be bought at the official store, I really want them to stop the switch due to necessity…

>>104

I don’t care at all.

Then I’ll say that I want it, so you shouldn’t buy it.

More people are switching from the standard version and bundled version to the multilingual version.

I feel like there are more people switching from the standard edition to the bundled edition.

In the first place, saying “it’s the online layer” doesn’t make sense for online lotteries.

>>106

Opinions attributed to individuals may be biased, but…

In this case, the lottery is being conducted by Nintendo.

Since it is completely random, there is no point in bias based on location.

From Nintendo’s perspective, they judged that the multilingual version had generally spread during the first round, so they plan to reduce the number of units in the subsequent rounds.

>>107

That’s up to Nintendo to decide.

>>107

In the end, since we sell it overseas, there’s no reason to lower the price.

One advantage is that overseas exclusive software can be played in a multilingual version.

Popular and anticipated overseas games usually have Japanese versions these days.

The situation is completely different from about 20 years ago.

I don’t think the probability is higher for the Mario Kart set.

Are they building up this much inventory at the start…?

It’s absurd to even mention a percentage in an online survey, but claiming a 90% multilingual version is just nonsensical.

This is a trap.

>>113

It was just that there were only a few who jumped at the high prices, right?

It’s unavoidable that having stock won’t cause problems later because it’s a multilingual version.

It was sufficient when it was circulating as used in 26.

There seems to be information suggesting that the multilingual version might be easier to obtain, and foreigners living in Japan are feeling hopeless.

If you’re Japanese, you should choose the Japanese version.