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[Nintendo Switch] The theory that everyone will win is spreading…

Here’s the extracted text from the image: “` NINTENDO SWITCH. O2 NINTENDO SWITCH. CERO A Japanese-Language System (Japan Only) Nintendo Switch 〇Mario Kart World Set “`

1: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx116

Isn’t that a good thing?

2: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx9

I’m also hitting it.

3: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx56

Well, if someone can meet the conditions, I’d want to make sure everyone wins.

4: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx6

At least the suspicious ones would be eliminated, and it wouldn’t be everyone.

5: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx13

Is there anyone who hasn’t hit it?

Even I was elected.

6: Japan Otaku Reviews

But the truth is…?

7: Japan Otaku Reviews

It may be that the strict lottery conditions overseas are for that reason.

19: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>7

The strict conditions mean that the largest market in the EU, North America, is currently postponing reservations.

8: Japan Otaku Reviews

If the majority is correct, the minority that is wrong will go insane.

9: Japan Otaku Reviews

Trump is going to persuade Nintendo to get everyone elected, I know this well.

10: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx18

If it sells, there’s no problem, so if I could, I would do it that way.

11: Japan Otaku Reviews

Of course, Nintendo wants to sell to everyone.

12: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx4

Those who didn’t win are doing it.

13: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx4

I’m going to hit it… I…

14: Japan Otaku Reviews

Only those who meet the conditions can buy it! It sounds bad to say that, so maybe they decided to make it a right to enter a lottery instead…

15: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx36

The only ones who would be troubled by everyone winning are the resellers.

38: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

>>15

So the only ones denying the theory that everyone wins are scalpers or those from the gaming community.

16: Japan Otaku Reviews

https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOUF31BM40R30C25A1000000/?n_cid=SNSTW005

I wonder how much qualifies as sufficient inventory.

17: Japan Otaku Reviews

Those who reserved the bundled Mario Kart anonymously achieved a great victory, huh?

20: Japan Otaku Reviews

I’m probably a nameless person from the future, but maybe everyone has won and probably everyone has a Switch 2.

21: Japan Otaku Reviews

Well, I’ll hit it, though.

22: Japan Otaku Reviews

I have the impression that even the DS was hard to buy at first, so I wonder how it will be this time.

23: Japan Otaku Reviews

It seems that the success rate is much higher than selling to retailers that might turn to resale.

It’s strong that you can check online membership history and play history.

24: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

Even if I win, I can’t buy anything unless they distribute the benefits quickly.

25: Japan Otaku Reviews

In reality, there’s an 80% chance of winning.

36: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

>>25

I will become part of the 20%.

26: Japan Otaku Reviews

I couldn’t apply because I was riding on my friend’s family plan.

32: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx21

>>26

It’s a pathetic story to confess like this, isn’t it!

37: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx32

>>26

Serves you right!!!!!!!!!!

27: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx4

Isn’t it a bit damaging for retailers if everyone wins? Are you okay?

29: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx19

>>27

There are plenty of people who can’t apply for the lottery, so it should be fine.

28: Japan Otaku Reviews

I forgot, but the lottery is still going on, right?

30: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx5

In the first place, Nintendo has all the data on its customers.

I think it’s a bit naive to believe that drawing a line here based on production numbers would balance supply and demand, which is why the conditions were set this way, right?

159: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx2

>>30

If they’re setting a line where all applicants can sell under these conditions, I think they would just say it’s a regular reservation instead of a lottery, so I believe many will be unceremoniously rejected…

31: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx19

Could it be that the opportunity loss for resellers was greater than we imagined…? As soon as measures were taken, this happened.

33: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

Even if everyone can buy from the official lottery at regular stores, there will probably be an overflow of people.

34: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx6

It’s painful when you think you’ll hit and then miss.

I think it’s going to come off.

35: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx5

As expected of Nintendo, some crappy companies should take a lesson.

39: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

Today, I bought Xenoblade Chronicles and Pokémon with a thumbnail ticket.

I think Nintendo is really looking out for us.

40: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx5

Not everyone knows, but we are holding a lottery ahead of general stores.

I think the image is quite bad if there are a lot of “sad news” on the 24th.

41: Japan Otaku Reviews

I’ve been a member for over 6 years, so of course I’m going to win!

42: Japan Otaku Reviews

It doesn’t seem like a theory or anything…

43: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx7

Maybe I’ll notice what’s going on here before I get home and check my email.

44: Japan Otaku Reviews

Being off the mark is, conversely, a stroke of incredible luck.

45: Japan Otaku Reviews

To be honest, I thought the initial demand would take about three months to fulfill.

But is it really okay to believe them when they make such grand statements…?

58: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx5

>>45

Even if we can prepare the quantity, I have a feeling that delivery will be a struggle.

46: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx14

The source of everyone’s win is just a wish after all…

Well, it would be nice if it hits, but…

66: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx2

>>46

The fact that the company selling it is the divine company Nintendo is already sufficient evidence.

88: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx7

>>66

Isn’t it just painful when it misses?!

104: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

>>88

The ones who were removed are just worthless trash with a problem.

47: Japan Otaku Reviews

If you’re taking risks and mass-producing, you want to sell everything, right?

48: Japan Otaku Reviews

I hope everyone gets it right.

I want to have fun in the Mario Kart thread with nameless people.

57: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>48

Are we going for a drive without names…?

80: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx5

>>57

We will hold SBR!!!

59: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>48

When I get Mario Kart W, I want to take a lot of screenshots and spread the goodness of Daisy!!!

49: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx8

These things are problematic because there will be people who take them seriously and then among them, there will be those who act out.

68: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx7

>>49

Well, no matter what happens, if it goes wrong, it’ll go crazy…

I’ll even go so far as to delete all the posts that say I won, using both my fixed line and smartphone.

70: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx23

>>68

It’s too petty…

79: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>68

It seems like this place will be filled with IDs on the day of the announcement of the winners.

82: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx11

>>68

You’re crazy.

96: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

>>68

I think I’ll do it too, so be careful with boasting about winning…

105: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx4

>>68

People who say things like this get lucky, report it, and have their ID revealed, right?

117: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx2

>>105

Well, I guess I’ll say it too…

124: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>105

I’m going to go around with del, I’m going to go around with del, I’m going to go around with del.

50: Japan Otaku Reviews

It’s fine as long as you don’t go wild when it misses.

51: Japan Otaku Reviews

That said, since everyone has no choice but to enter the lottery, even if the theory that everyone wins spreads, there’s really no one who would be at a disadvantage.

Rather, I can even feel the good intentions of people trying not to be restless until the 24th.

52: Japan Otaku Reviews

I bought the Mario Kart bundle, but I don’t even have friends to play with anymore.

53: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx6

When everyone spreads the theory of winning and then loses, they complain that things are different.

54: Japan Otaku Reviews

If I miss, I’ll lash out in anger, and if I hit, I’ll celebrate with joy.

The preparations are perfect.

55: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

The sight of you, thinking that everyone would win, was quite funny.

56: Japan Otaku Reviews

If everyone is going to win, I should have made it a Mario Kart set…

It’s no good because you can’t take risks at times like this…

60: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx2

Right now, at Nintendo’s factory, they’re desperately working to produce enough for everyone.

67: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx10

>>60

Now!?

78: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>67

Well, it’s not a lie that the factory is still operating now…

61: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx9

(But I feel like I’ll be the only one to win…)

62: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx5

For some reason, there are a few people outside who think that the application requirements for the Nintendo Store are the same across other stores.

I’ll withhold the truth so that you’ll give up on your application.

63: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

It would be unfortunate for those who are left out…

64: Japan Otaku Reviews

I thought there was no way I could do online for a year, but when I bought a month this time, it showed 4 years and 6 months of history, and I was shocked.

I see that it has been charged to my credit card all along.

100: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>64

What a valued customer…

I haven’t even turned on the power lately, even though I’m still a member.

65: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

The reservation information currently available in retail is mostly through a lottery system, and the conditions are quite strict.

69: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>65

I saw GEO, but it was loose.

71: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx4

I thought the results were out already!

72: Japan Otaku Reviews

Well, I think it would be difficult for everyone, considering the hassle of shipping and various other things.

I feel like more than half of us can make it.

73: Japan Otaku Reviews

I bought the Lite at a half-baked timing and have been waiting for the sequel while playing Splatoon on a tiny screen, so I really hope it hits the mark.

74: Japan Otaku Reviews

When is the announcement?

97: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>74

24th

General reservations start around the 24th.

75: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx5

It might be the first time in my life that I’m planning to buy a gaming console on the day it’s released.

99: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx3

>>75

It’s been since I bought it on the first day of the Super Famicom.

76: Japan Otaku Reviews

Even if not everyone won, I’m curious about what the winning rate would be.

77: Japan Otaku Reviews

According to my calculations, the winning rate.

dice1d100=

17 (17)

%

81: Japan Otaku Reviews

By spreading the theory that everyone has won, it stimulates the purchasing desire of those who were not selected and makes them buy at high resale prices.

83: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

The first day was amazing, but now you can apply normally, so there’s no need to rush.

Even the lazy people who haven’t applied yet can take their time to do it by the morning of the day after tomorrow.

84: Japan Otaku Reviews

I feel like I’m going to win, half of me.

I feel like it’s going to be tough to buy a PS5 through a lottery.

85: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx2

Since I’m a 3DS Ambassador, I absolutely believe I will win.

On the contrary, there’s no way I wouldn’t secretly give special treatment here.

(I want to say that)

86: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx8

If those useless resale scalpers were to perish, then panic buying would also disappear and there would be no problem.

107: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>86

This time, it feels much better because overseas resellers are being suppressed. I hope it gets better.

87: Japan Otaku Reviews

“Everyone, please choose urine.”

89: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx3

>dice1d100=17 (17)%

Oh no…

90: Japan Otaku Reviews

>dice1d100=17 (17)%

One sixth, that’s not too bad.

91: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx4

(I have been contributing to Nintendo for a long time, so it’s a sure route.)

92: Japan Otaku Reviews

It seems that Switch software will continue to be released for the next two years, so I can endure being out for up to two years.

93: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx3

They said officially that they will hold multiple draws from now on.

Since you know the number of applicants, there are probably quite a few who are not suitable, right?

106: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>93

It might be the type where winning emails keep coming in, like with Sharp’s masks.

94: Japan Otaku Reviews

It’s been more than a year since I registered online, so I’ll probably buy a Switch 2.

95: Japan Otaku Reviews

It’s after you’ve actually won that you can celebrate.

98: Japan Otaku Reviews

>dice1d100=17 (17)%

Terrible.

101: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

>dice1d100=17 (17)%

Raw…

102: Japan Otaku Reviews

It seems that after seeing the results of the 24th, I can apply for the lottery at other stores.

103: Japan Otaku Reviews

The truth is that I’m probably furious, but with a healthy mind, I’ll say congratulations to the anonymous winner…

If you see resale on Mercari, it will likely turn your head.

110: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>103

(I guess it’s stress that caused the hair loss…)

108: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx4

Maybe I’ll encounter some Switch 2 hunting on my way back after I buy it.

127: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx4

>>108

Noooooo!!!

109: Japan Otaku Reviews

We can’t really afford to treat retail poorly, so I think we’ll lose half of it.

115: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx4

>>109

Retailers are scum who collude with resellers, so it’s only natural for them to be treated poorly…

126: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>115

Basically, legally speaking, all retail is resale.

128: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

>>115

Don’t say something like a clueless kid.

120: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx3

>>109

No, retail is full of those who don’t meet this application requirement.

131: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>109

Retail is all about new users flocking there, so isn’t that enough?

111: Japan Otaku Reviews

Even Bowser is considerate, isn’t he?

112: Japan Otaku Reviews

I want to breeze through Raido, Lunfa, and Dragon Quest I and II, so I hope for a hit.

Don’t say you can do it on the Switch.

113: Japan Otaku Reviews

I’ve never participated in a lottery sale before, so I’m not sure how likely I am to win.

I hope I win…

114: Japan Otaku Reviews

There’s no way they would make us go through the trouble of subscribing to Nintendo Online just to drop it.

125: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx6

>>114

The sight of me getting all motivated like that was a joke.

116: Japan Otaku Reviews

I think the official option has a better chance of winning than the mass retailers, but is it really possible for everyone to win?

122: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>116

You should be able to know the number of people who can participate in the lottery, so it seems like it shouldn’t be impossible.

154: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>116

They’re going through the trouble of setting conditions and narrowing down the number of lottery entries.

I don’t think it’s the case that you don’t have a grasp on the actual numbers.

118: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx3

To be honest, given my experience with the PS5, it’s obvious that the main unit and peripherals will increase in price, so there’s no choice but to buy at launch.

119: Japan Otaku Reviews

Once the data transfer from Switch2 is done, can I go ahead and sell my old Switch?

129: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>119

If there are no unsupported software, then it’s fine.

136: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx2

>>119

Depending on the software, the behavior may become unstable on switch2, so make sure to check it.

121: Japan Otaku Reviews

Since the online start date until today, my total playtime has easily exceeded 10,000 hours and I’ve bought over 100 games, so there’s no way I won’t win!

Excellent customers!

138: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

>>121

It’s a big shock for someone who is actively spending on online payments and buying software to apply and not get it.

It can even become an inverted anti.

160: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>138

Well… I’ll just hang around at Amazon or Yodobashi normally…

167: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>160

Are you going to give up like that again?

123: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx4

I believe that since I’ve accumulated a lot of old Club Nintendo points and have been continuously subscribed to Switch Online and the additional pack since the service started, I’m absolutely confident that I will win, so I’m already feeling like I can play Mario Kart.

130: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>123

Guys like this are the ones who miss the mark.

132: Japan Otaku Reviews

Well, there’s no way I won’t hit it.

133: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx8

Even with a 90% winning rate, you become part of the 10% that loses.

I

134: Japan Otaku Reviews

On the Nintendo side, they are aware of the number of people who meet the conditions and are likely preparing accordingly, leading to a sense of hope.

135: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx6

If I can win the lottery just by having an ID, then I wouldn’t mind being banned.

190: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>135

I see you are ready to quit the bulletin board and break down the stack.

Would you like to become the son-in-law of the Houjou country?

137: Japan Otaku Reviews

I’m a strategist, so I thought I could just buy the individual version of Mario Kart later if I wanted it, so I chose the standalone version.

139: Japan Otaku Reviews

Aren’t they going to have a second lottery even if you don’t win?

156: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>139

Not just a sequel, they said they will do it for a while.

140: Japan Otaku Reviews

What should I do if I win?

I have no money.

144: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>140

You can borrow money, right?

145: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx3

>>140

Don’t apply.

148: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx2

>>140

It’s not a time to be buying a gaming console, so don’t worry.

163: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>140

Why not just register for Paidy now?

I don’t know if it can be used in the store.

165: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>140

I can receive 60,000 yen in April as a subsidy for my difficult illness…

177: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

>>165

I’m also suffering from the can’t-buy-switch2-and-will-die disease, you know~

170: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx3

>>140

The payment deadline is until May 7th, so start a short part-time job from tomorrow to earn some money.

181: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>140

If you secretly contact me, I’ll buy it for you and play with it instead.

141: Japan Otaku Reviews

The damage when it misses is significant, so I’m already getting ready to buy it at Yodobashi.

It’s only natural to think that not everyone can win.

142: Japan Otaku Reviews

Mr. Nintendo…

I’ve been in the family plan for 3 years, you know?

143: Japan Otaku Reviews

Even if everyone wins the lottery this time, I think the Switch 2 sold in stores will still sell out normally.

146: Japan Otaku Reviews

I hope we find out the lottery results before reservations start…

It seems like both were on the same day…

151: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>146

In any case, retail reservations are a lottery, right?

171: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>146

I don’t know if there are still stores selling on a first-come, first-served basis, but I think if you wait until you see the results and then take your time going there, you’ll just end up at the end of the line.

147: Japan Otaku Reviews

I debuted on Switch from 2, so I have no choice but to lick the shoes of retailers.

150: Japan Otaku Reviews

Even if I fall, I have the second lottery, so I’m fine.

152: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx11

As expected, resellers should just die!

162: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx7

>>152

And those who buy from resellers too.

153: Japan Otaku Reviews

You should have an understanding of the number of people who fit the criteria.

It will only be a matter of an increase in the number of people who pay for an additional year later.

155: Japan Otaku Reviews

I thought I wouldn’t be able to buy it anyway when it was a regular switch, so I made a reservation.

I ended up having to buy two on the release day.

157: Japan Otaku Reviews

I expected that there would be many people who want to keep their purchase costs down, so I chose Mario Kart!

166: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

>>157

I chose this because I wanted to play Mario Kart too!!

158: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx3

It’s a lie! The idea that everyone would win is all a lie!

It’s all just nonsense to make Dad feel at ease!

175: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>158

Dani!?

161: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx3

Retail will likely engage in fraud through the lottery…

I mean, actually Bic Camera was rigging the Switch lottery.

164: Japan Otaku Reviews

Well, if it comes to that, I’ll give the password to my part-time job.

168: Japan Otaku Reviews

The time has come for the tax-exempt household benefits to be helpful.

169: Japan Otaku Reviews

The only reliable ones in the local area seem to be GEO, Yamada, and Bic.

172: Japan Otaku Reviews

Well, considering the time during the pandemic when there was a shortage and I kept losing in the lottery, this is nothing.

173: Japan Otaku Reviews

By the way, is it until today?

174: Japan Otaku Reviews

When Switch1 was released, there was a bit of a scramble for the joy-con color on the morning of the release date at retail, but everyone was able to purchase one…

176: Japan Otaku Reviews

The Mario Kart Wii package and download card can be bought anytime, but

The only time you can buy the Switch 2 with Mario Kart W on the package is by the end of this year, you know?

178: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx2

Even if you get a Switch 2, the only new game you can actually play on release day is basically Mario Kart.

185: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx2

>>178

There’s Shine Post, right!!!!!!!!

179: Japan Otaku Reviews

I had been offline for a while, so I was wondering if I would have enough time… When I checked for my application, I found that I had a normal history of about four years, which relieved me.

180: Japan Otaku Reviews

Isn’t the result announcement for the lottery still not out?!

186: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>180

Not yet, so don’t worry.

194: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>180

(But well, I’m probably right…)

204: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>180

Swing practice is important.

182: Japan Otaku Reviews

Has it already been announced?

183: Japan Otaku Reviews

It seems like it’s mostly a lottery, so I’m glad I don’t need to stick around on the 24th.

184: Japan Otaku Reviews

I already loaded 54,000 yen onto my Nintendo Switch prepaid card.

The option other than buying from the Nintendo Store has disappeared.

187: Japan Otaku Reviews

Since Nintendo has the numbers, they should be able to make quite accurate predictions.

Given that they have presented these conditions, they must be intending to almost guarantee the win… that is my hope.

I wish for that too.

188: Japan Otaku Reviews

To talk realistically…

You increase equipment to sell a large amount in the initial phase, right?

When demand settles down, the equipment becomes a liability.

You can see the realistic initial sales numbers, right?

It doesn’t matter to me because I will win.

196: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>188

Can’t you see it?

Is everyone a winner?

189: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx3

A thread that clearly illustrates how frightening normalcy bias can be.

191: Japan Otaku Reviews

I have no money.

As expected, it doesn’t exist.

192: Japan Otaku Reviews

If I receive an email asking me to suddenly pay 50,000 yen because I’m not expecting to win, I would suspect it’s a scam.

193: Japan Otaku Reviews

If you’re not going to play Mario Kart, don’t buy the bundled version…!

198: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>193

I won’t use it, but I got the bundled version because it was cheap.

199: Japan Otaku Reviews

>>193

Shut up! Let me buy it! I’ll probably do it!

195: Japan Otaku Reviews

Since they are saying it’s the first lottery, there will also be a second and third round.

In other words, it will hit someday.

197: Japan Otaku Reviews

Next Thursday? Ah, that’s scary…

200: Japan Otaku Reviews

It will already be confirmed in 10 days…

201: Japan Otaku Reviews

For now, I will apply for the Mario Kart bundle edition.

I will buy it if I win.

Auntie who doesn’t know whether to play or not!!

202: Japan Otaku Reviews

I said everyone was elected at school, but I’m relieved.

203: Japan Otaku ReviewsYeahx1

Isn’t it a bit different from normality bias?

205: Japan Otaku Reviews

It seems that the number of units sent to the United States for tariff measures is 1 million.

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